It's not very intuitive how large the cumulative probability of an event is for which the annual probability is low. So I made this chart.
If the annual probability for some event is 1%, then the cumulative probability that this event happens within 100 years is 63%. pic.twitter.com/DIxyurBzpo
My latest video introduces a sassy new AI bot that has opinions. It’s named “JIG”, which is pronounced exactly the same as GIF backwards. https://t.co/UdGwfDfs8l