#COVIDCanada
4 avril 2020 pic.twitter.com/dHw3s4jFpV

— Simon Villeneuve (@villeneuve80) April 4, 2020

MISE À JOUR DU 4⃣ AVRIL (2de3)
➡️Progression à partir du 5e décès confirmé.
➡️Comme pour la courbe des cas, le Québec suit sensiblement le scénario suisse. Le nombre de décès est supérieur à celui de l’ensemble du Canada, au même point. #COVID19 pic.twitter.com/D6NyuaIeIh

— Patrick Déry (@Patrickdery) April 4, 2020

MISE À JOUR DU 4⃣ AVRIL (3de3)
➡️Décès, progression à partir du franchissement du seuil de 1 décès/million d'habitants.
➡️La nombre de décès par million est pour l'instant comparable à celui de l’Allemagne, de la Suède ou de la Suisse, au même point dans la pandémie.#COVID19 pic.twitter.com/Ll6dKhZcgj

— Patrick Déry (@Patrickdery) April 4, 2020

How does that look cumulatively?
• US death toll slope shows no signs of flattening; about to shoot straight past Italy, which was slowing by this stage
• US will likely have highest total death toll globally within a week

All charts: https://t.co/JxVd2cG7KI pic.twitter.com/RzjmcOzFXA

— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) April 4, 2020

And cases in cumulative form:
• US stretching my chart limits again; will extend y-axis to 500k tomorrow
• Australia a rare example of an Anglophone country on a gentle trajectory
• Brazil tracking UK ⚠️ pic.twitter.com/9kV8B09dIH

— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) April 4, 2020

Subnational death tolls cumulatively:
• Like the US at large, NY is really in uncharted territory here, death toll marching into the thousands
• New Jersey ramping up onto Lombardy’s trajectory. More than 8,000 died there.

All charts: https://t.co/JxVd2cG7KI pic.twitter.com/T0yfza2MML

— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) April 4, 2020

Small multiples for daily new deaths:
• Belgium tracking Italy ⚠️
• Portugal may be coming down off its steep path
• Switzerland & Sweden tracking China ⚠️

All charts: https://t.co/JxVd2cG7KI pic.twitter.com/gpbE5tQSmf

— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) April 4, 2020

Things to note:
• The data is noisy & subject to all sorts of tricky caveats
• e.g most countries reporting deaths in hospital. Many deaths occur in nursing homes etc; we hope to add these in future
• Point being: watch for general trends. Focus on slopes, not specific numbers

— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) April 4, 2020

1) Although Montreal observed a smaller rise in #COVID cases Friday, it reported its biggest single-day increase in deaths: 12. The pandemic has now claimed the lives of 29 Montrealers, all elderly but for one individual in his/her 30s. In this thread, I also address projections. pic.twitter.com/3LIbmzfaXr

— Aaron Derfel (@Aaron_Derfel) April 4, 2020